Euro sinks more than 3% vs. buck for 2nd week in a row

 

The euro lost more than 3% of its value against the buck for the second straight week Friday, as the dollar’s eight-month rally resumed.

The euro EURUSD, -1.32% traded as low as $1.0465, its weakest level since January 2003.

The pound GBPUSD, -0.94% traded as low as $1.4700, its lowest level since June 2010, before both currencies staged a slight recovery. 

The euro traded at $1.0634 late Thursday, while the pound traded at $1.4849.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.91% a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was up 0.76% to 100.1900 in recent trade.

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The dollar was slightly higher against the yen Friday, with investors avoiding taking lopsided positions ahead of the weekend and next week’s Federal Open Market Committee.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.10%  was at ¥121.47, compared with ¥121.26 late Thursday in New York.

The euro EURUSD, -0.18%  , tumbled to fresh 12-year low during Asian time Thursday. It last traded at $1.0584 from $1.0634.

The euro EURJPY, -0.10%  was down to ¥128.85 from ¥128.91, while the Aussie AUDJPY, -0.18%  fell to ¥93.24 from ¥93.48.

The WSJ Dollar Index BUXX, +0.17%  , a measure of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, was up 0.29% at 88.87.

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The ICE U.S. Dollar Index rose for the second- straight week Friday, after the Bureau of Labor Statistics’s February nonfarm payrolls number exceeded expectations and the euro dropped to its lowest level versus the U.S. unit in more than 11 years.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +1.43% a measure of the buck’s strength against a basket of six rival currencies, finished the day up 1.3% to 97.63, its highest level in ,more than 11 1/2 years.
The euro EURUSD, -1.70% was at $1.0844 in recent trade after falling to its lowest level since 2003 at $1.0839 after the jobs report. It had traded at $1.1030 late Thursday.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.59% retreated slightly after hitting a four-month high of 121.27 yen, nearing its highest level against the Japanese currency since the summer of 2007, compared with ¥120.14 late Thursday in New York. The buck also USDZAR, +1.70%  rose to its highest level against the South African rand in 13 years after the report, trading at 12.05 rand to the dollar, compared with 11.84 Thursday.

The pound GBPUSD, -1.34%  traded at $1.5037 after the report, its lowest level in about a month. It had traded at $1.5238 Thursday.

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The U.S. dollar hit an 11-year high against the euro Wednesday after pushing through a key technical threshold, shrugging off a weaker-than-expected ADP jobs report and strong eurozone reports.

The euro EURUSD, -0.41%   tumbled to $1.1073, its lowest level since late 2003.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.16%  inched higher against the yen after a measure of February service-sector activity in the U.S. came in higher than analysts had expected. The dollar traded at ¥119.70, compared with ¥119.67 late Tuesday.

The pound GBPUSD, -0.22%  traded at $1.5258, compared with $1.5362 Tuesday.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.31% a measure of the dollar’s strength against six of its largest trading partners’ currencies, was 0.62% higher at 95.9750.
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TRADING TIPS :

GBP/USDeased 0.12% to 1.5342 from around 1.5358 ahead of the data,the services purchasing managers’ index ticked down to 56.7 from 57.2 in January. Economists had expected the index to rise to 57.5.On the index, a level above 50.0 indicates expansion in the industry, below 50.0 indicates contraction.“Although the rate of expansion slowed in the vast services economy, growth has picked up in both manufacturing and construction,” Chris Williamson, chief economist at survey compilers Markit said.”The three PMI surveys collectively indicated a slight acceleration in economic growth for a second successive month in February as a result, consistent with GDP growth picking up to 0.6% in the first quarter.”




INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.5294
Resistance: 1.5364

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.5366-TG: 1.5386/1.5416 SL 1.5336
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.5292-TG: 1.5272/1.5242 SL 1.5322

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.1096
Resistance: 1.1165

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.1167-TG: 1.1187/1.1217 SL 1.1137
2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.1094-TG: 1.1064/1.1034 SL 1.1124

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TRADING TIPS :
GBP/USD hit 1.5398 during European morning trade, the session high; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.5371.U.K. construction purchasing managers’ index increased to 60.1 last month from a reading of 59.1 in January. Economists had expected the index to tick down to 59.0 in February. “Housing, commercial and civil engineering activity all expanded at the quickest rates since last October, helped by sharp rises in new business volumes and an improving economic backdrop.”The dollar had rallied broadly on Monday after data showed that U.S. manufacturing activity continued to expand in February supported expectations for higher interest rates.





INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.5337
Resistance: 1.5394

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.5396-TG: 1.5416/1.5446 SL 1.5366
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.5335-TG: 1.5315/1.5285 SL 1.5365

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.1148
Resistance: 1.1187

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.1189-TG: 1.1209/1.1239 SL 1.1159
2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.1146-TG: 1.1126/1.1096 SL 1.1176

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The dollar inched lower against key rivals Tuesday after strong data out of Europe and the U.K. implied that economic growth in the rest of the world is beginning to catch up to the U.S.

The euro EURUSD, -0.07%  traded at $1.1175, compared with $1.1183 Monday evening, while the pound GBPUSD, -0.07%  traded at $1.5363, compared with $1.5359.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.01%  also drifted lower against the yen, trading at ¥119.70, compared with ¥120.14.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.11% a measure of the dollar’s strength against six of its largest trading partners, was down 0.06% on the day to 95.4090.

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The dollar shrugged off a slate of weak economic data Monday to trade higher against the euro, yen and pound, benefiting from a surprise rate cut from the People’s Bank of China.

The euro EURUSD, +0.12%  fell to $1.1182, flat compared with its Friday-afternoon value of $1.1198. The buck USDJPY, -0.34%  traded at 120.18 yen, its highest level in nearly three weeks. It traded at ¥119.63 Friday.

 The pound GBPUSD, +0.11%  traded at $1.5366, compared with $1.5440 Friday.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index, a measure of the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six rival currencies, DXY, -0.17%  rose 0.2% to 95.47.

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The U.S. dollar index posted a monthly gain after spending much of February in consolidation mode as investors await further signals on the timing of the Federal Reserve’s next interest-rate increase move.
The euro EURUSD, -0.02%  traded at $1.1197, little changed from its level in late North American trade on Thursday.

The dollar was at ¥119.63 compared with USDJPY, +0.18%  ¥119.49 late Thursday in New York.

The lira USDTRY, +0.12% traded at a rate of 2.5087 per dollar in recent action and traded at 2.5248 per dollar in earlier action, breaching the previous all-time low set on Feb. 11, according to The Wall Street Journal.

The WSJ Dollar Index BUXX, +0.04% a measure of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, was down 0.03 point at 85.89.

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TRADING TIPS :

GBP/USD hit 1.5552 during European morning trade, the pair’s highest since January 2; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.5531.In a report, the Office for National Statistics said the U.K. gross domestic product expanded by 0.5% in the final three months of 2014, unchanged from an initial estimate and in line with expectations. The U.K.’s economy grew by 0.7% in the previous quarter.Year-over-year, U.K. economic growth grew 2.7% in the three months to December, unchanged from a preliminary reading. The U.K. economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.6% in the third quarter of 2014.The report also showed that total U.K. business investment fell 1.4% in the last quarter, disappointing forecasts for a 1.9% gain and following a 1.2% decline in the third quarter of 2014.




INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.5492
Resistance: 1.5573

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.5575-TG: 1.5595/1.5625 SL 1.5545
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.5490-TG: 1.5470/1.5440 SL 1.5520

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.1317

Resistance: 1.1396
RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.1398-TG: 1.1418/1.1448 SL 1.1368

2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.1315-TG: 1.1295/1.1265 SL 1.1345 
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The ICE U.S. Dollar Index rose to its highest level since 2003 Thursday, as currency traders bet that a stronger-than-expected core consumer-price index number will prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates sooner than expected.

The index DXY, -0.13% a measure of the greenback’s strength against a basket of six rival currencies, rose 1.15% to 95.1500, according to FactSet data.

The euro EURUSD, +0.13%  traded at $1.1998, its lowest level since Jan. 26, compared with $1.1361 Wednesday.

The euro EURUSD, +0.13%  traded at $1.1998, its lowest level since Jan. 26, compared with $1.1361 Wednesday.
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TRADING TIPS :

GBP/USD up 0.28% to 1.5496.during European morning trade, the pair’s highest since January 2; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.5509, gaining 0.36%.In a report, the British Bankers’ Association said that mortgage approvals rose by 36,400 in January, beating expectations for an increase of 36,200. December’s figure was revised to a 35,800 gain from a previously estimated rise of 35,700.Meanwhile, the greenback remained under pressure after Fed Chair Yellen said it was “unlikely” that economic conditions would warrant an interest rate increase for “at least the next couple of FOMC meetings”.





INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.5450
Resistance: 1.5537

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.5539-TG: 1.5559/1.5589 SL 1.5509
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.5448-TG: 1.5428/1.5398 SL 1.5478

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.1316
Resistance: 1.1393

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.1395-TG: 1.1415/1.1445 SL 1.1365
2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.1314-TG: 1.1294/1.1264 SL 1.1284

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The U.S. dollar inched lower against its main trading partners Wednesday, extending losses from Tuesday’s session, after Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen suggested the central bank isn’t ready to raise interest rates just yet.

The dollar traded lower against the euro EURUSD, -0.08%  and flat against the yen USDJPY, -0.09% with the euro worth $1.1360 and the buck trading at ¥118.85, compared with $1.1349 and ¥118.75 Tuesday.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.00% a measure of the dollar’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six rival currencies, was 0.3% lower at 94.2260.


The pound GBPUSD, -0.06%  and the Australian dollar AUDUSD, -0.04%  were especially well-bid versus the buck, with sterling trading at $1.5525, its highest level since late December. It traded at $1.5476 late Tuesday.

The aussie AUDUSD, +0.01%  traded at 78.86 cents, just below its highest level since Jan. 28, up from 78.59 Tuesday.
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TRADING TIPS :

GBP/USD hit 1.5474 during European morning trade, the session high; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.5446. Investors remained cautious as Fed Chair Janet Yellen was to testify before the Senate Banking Committee in Washington later Tuesday, with market participants watching for any indication on when U.S. interest rates may start to rise.Last week’s minutes of the Fed’s January meeting were more dovish than expected, showing that some officials thought that raising rates too soon could weigh on the U.S. economic recovery, and that a deterioration in the global economic outlook could also pose a threat.The pound shrugged off a report by the Confederation of British Industry on Monday showing that its index of U.K. retailers plunged by 38.0 points to a 21-month low of 1.0 in February from 39.0 in January.




INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.5401
Resistance: 1.5479

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.5481-TG: 1.5501/1.5531 SL 1.5451
2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.5399-TG: 1.5379/1.5349 SL 1.15429

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 1.1278
Resistance: 1.1350

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above 1.1352-TG: 1.1372/1.1402 SL 1.1322
2. Sell EUR/USD Below 1.1276-TG: 1.1256/1.1226 SL 1.1306
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 The dollar inched lower against the yen and euro after Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen suggested the central bank’s first rate hike since 2006 may not occur until the second half of the year.

The dollar USDJPY, -0.24%  was at ¥118.89 Tuesday afternoon, compared with ¥118.83 late Monday in New York. The euro EURUSD, +0.05%  traded at $1.1342, compared with $1.1336.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.10% a measure of the dollar’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six other currencies, declined 0.14% to 94.4410.

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TRADING TIPS :

USD/JPYtraded at 119.06, up 0.03% against the dollar.The Bank of Japan is to publish the minutes of its latest policy meeting, which contain valuable insights into economic conditions from the bank’s perspective.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was quoted at 94.40.Last week, the euro pushed higher against the dollar and the yen on Friday after euro zone finance ministers agreed on a deal to extend Greece’s bailout by four months. The euro zone approved the extension of Greece’s €240 billion bailout, removing concerns that the country would face a liquidity crunch when its current bailout agreement expired at the end of the month.




INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Support: 118.77
Resistance: 119.41

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy USD/JPY Above 119.43-TG: 119.63/119.93 SL 119.13
2. Sell USD/JPY Below 118.75-TG: 118.55/118.25 SL 119.05

INTRADAY OUTLOOK
Immediate Support: 1.1292
Immediate Resistance: 1.1372

RECOMMENDATION:
1. Buy EUR/USD Above -1.1374 TG: 1.1394/1.1424 SL 1.1344
2. Sell EUR/USD Below -1.1290 TG:1.1270/1.1240 SL 1.1320

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The euro fell against the dollar Monday, as the initial enthusiasm for Greece’s bailout extension gave way to anxiety that debt problems may have been delayed rather than resolved.

The shared currency EURUSD, +0.04%  recovered somewhat from the day’s low to trade at $1.1334, up from a session low of $1.1295, but down from around $1.1378 late Friday in New York.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.20%  bought 118.84 yen, down a touch from ¥119.07 late Friday in New York.

The pound GBPUSD, -0.07%  gained against the dollar, rising to $1.5460 from $1.5399 late Friday ahead of Bank of England Governor Mark Carney’s remarks at a Treasury select committee hearing Tuesday.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.05%  gained 0.32% to 94.5610.
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The dollar was almost flat against the yen and the euro in Asian trade Monday, with investors avoiding taking strong positions ahead of Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen’s testimony before Congress later this week.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.19%  was at ¥118.99 from ¥119.07 late Friday in New York.

The euro EURUSD, -0.65%  was at $1.1370 from $1.1378 and was at ¥135.31 from ¥135.50.

The WSJ Dollar Index BUXX, +0.54% a measure of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, was up 0.03% at 85.50.
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TRADING TIPS :

GBP/USD hit 1.5353 during European morning trade, the pair’s lowest since February 18; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.5384, shedding 0.19%.In a report, the Office for National Statistics said U.K. retail sales rose fell 0.3% in January, compared to expectations for a 0.2% downtick. December’s figure was revised to a 0.2% gain from a previously estimated increase of 0.4%.Year-on-year, U.K. retail sales rose at a rate of 4.8% last month, below expectations for a 5.9% increase and after a downwardly revised 3.8% gain in December.A separate report showed that U.K. public sector net borrowing dropped by £9.40 billion January, more than the expected decline of £7.80 billion. December’s figure was revised to a £9.87 rise from a previously estimated £12.47 increase.

INTRADAY OUTLOOK

Support: 1.5315

Resistance: 1.5389

RECOMMENDATION:

1. Buy GBP/USD Above 1.5392-TG: 1.5412/1.5442 SL 1.5362

2. Sell GBP/USD Below 1.5313-TG: 1.5293/1.5263 SL 1.5343

INTRADAY OUTLOOK

Immediate Support: 1.1268

Immediate Resistance: 1.1359

RECOMMENDATION:

1. Buy EUR/USD Above -1.1361 TG: 1.1381/1.1411 SL 1.1331

2. Sell EUR/USD Below -1.1266 TG:1.1246/1.1216 SL 1.1296

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Forex Market Update : Epic Research Malaysia

The euro closed higher against the dollar Friday, but finished lower on the week, after the Eurogroup announced it had agreed to a four-month extension of Greece’s bailout.

The shared currency EURUSD, +0.11% traded at $1.1377, down from its session high of $1.1430. It had traded at $1.1369 Thursday. Greece’s bailout agreement is set to expire on Feb. 28. The shared currency recorded a 0.1% weekly loss against the U.S. dollar.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.09% a measure of the dollar’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six currencies, finished lower for the fourth week in a row. The index was down 0.05% to 94.3490.

The dollar USDJPY, +0.04%   finished the session at 119 yen, unchanged from Thursday’s close, because of the market’s focus on Greece Friday, rather than the U.S. economy.

The pound GBPUSD, -0.11%  traded at $1.5399, compared with $1.5417 Thursday.
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